Wisconsin is the Battleground
Hat tip to Xoff on this one. Here's what Governing magazine's Josh Goodman has to say about the six states facing bans this November:
In these states, the marriage referendums served as classic wedge issues in that they had the effect of dividing Democrats, thereby providing a political advantage to Republicans. Specifically, since 2004 the marriage amendments have received on average 71.8% of the vote, while in those same 16 states President Bush averaged 58.3% of the vote in 2004, for an average difference of 13.5%.Read the full post here.
In Wisconsin, the situation is even more interesting -- this fall the Badger state could end up being the biggest gay marriage battleground in recent memory.