We're in This Game, and We're in It to Win
A new St. Norbert's College/Wisconsin Public Radio poll finds 51% of respondents support the civil unions and marriage ban, and 44% oppose it.
This is very good news. It suggests we're closing the gap.
The last times St. Norbert's polled on the amendment, they did not ask respondents about the complete amendment. They only asked about the first sentence. The first time they polled on this question was in April 2004. At the time, 66% said they supported "an amendment to the Wisconsin Constitution to define marriage as between one man and one woman."
The April 2006 St. Norbert's poll, with similar language, found 61% supported the amendment, with 34% opposed.
That's a 10% gain in the no vote.
I think the new figures show what we've known all along. When people understand the full scope of the ban, they move in our direction.
No poll can ever be relied upon to precisely predict the final outcome on Election Day. With television ads and our canvasses still focused on reaching persuadable voters, we will be able to move a few more percentage points. And then our massive get-out-the-vote operation will kick into high gear right before the election, delivering us over the finish line with a majority no vote.
From the inside, it's completely obvious to me that our campaign is catching fire like never before. Every single week, we continue to talk to thousands of voters. Every office is inundated with volunteers every night of the week. Independent groups continue to hold forums and debates. Students are mobilizing on campuses everywhere from River Falls to Carthage College. People are talking to friends and family. And the media continues to focus on this debate.
We're in this game, and we're in it to win.